MLB Play of the Days (POD's): 6-6 This Post Season
109-61(64.1%) +117.23 units of profit! (+$117,230)
We get some great value here with the Yankees with what I think is a major pitching advantage. Cole Hamels has struggled to show that he is the same pitcher is last year. He has yet to show three pitches. When he can throw the curve ball for a strike he is unhittable at times, but that has not been the case in the post season thus far. We will finally see what the Phillies bullpen is made of for the first time in this series and again advantage Yankees, but lets start with the starters first.
Cole Hamels has pitched better at home, but again he struggled twice in the NLCS and against the Yankees a better hitting team than the Dodgers he will struggle some more. The majority of the line up has solid numbers besides Arod 0-4 with 4K's, and Cano 0-3. Jeter 4-7, Damon 3-5, Teixera 2 HR 5-17, Cabrera 3-6 to round off a collective .283 average for the team. I took Hamels in big spots before in the NLCS and paid for it and I refuse to put my money on this south paw especially considering the Yankees who on the road this year have killed left handed pitching and are 9-3 in their last 12 vs. LH starter on the road. They have a .291 average including 6.27 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the road this year and I think they will enjoy finally getting to this bullpen.
Andy Pettitte not much you can say about this guy he's a classic vet and the Phillies have struggled big time against LHP as of late. They have a .162 average in their last 5 and a .186 average in their last 10 vs. LHP do the Phillies. Phillies collectively have a .222 average vs. Pettitte and Werth 1-13, Howard 1-9, and Utley 1-7 do not scare him. He has pitched much better away from the Stadium this year with a 9-4 record and a 3.61 ERA. He'll enjoy going back to playing an NL team with the easy out in Cole Hamels as the pitcher. Yankees won't be hurt much by the NL style here tonight as Pettite spent three years with the Astros and he's capable of laying down a sac bunt which I predict he'll have to do here tonight. Yankees are 40-13 in their last 53 as a favorite and I think they roll to a 2-1 series advantage in this one.
